葛汉文.“拒绝衰落”与美国“要塞化”:特朗普的大战略[J].国际安全研究,2018,(3):82-100 |
“拒绝衰落”与美国“要塞化”:特朗普的大战略 |
“Say No to Decline” and “American Fortification”: Trump’s Grand Strategy |
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DOI:10.14093/j.cnki.cn10-1132/d.2018.03.005 |
中文关键词: 美国 国家安全战略 特朗普 国家安全 霸权 |
英文关键词: the United States, national security strategy, Donald Trump, national security, hegemony |
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中文摘要: |
美国是大战略理论与实践的重镇。冷战结束后,“自由霸权主义”构成了美国大战略的基本内涵。在相对权势有所衰落的背景下,特朗普政府于2017年12月提出的新版《美国国家安全战略》体现出美国大战略转型的端倪。该战略是对“自由霸权主义”的颠覆:除在战略目标(追求或巩固世界霸权地位)大体一致外,该战略极力强调美国安全环境的恶化和外部挑战的大幅增强,在战略路径上主张单方面强化美国的经济与军事实力,放弃多边主义,撤回对国际机制的支持,以期在未来的大国竞争中取胜。特朗普的战略存在内在的缺陷,效果亦存在颇多不确定性,与国际政治经济发展趋势明显相悖,对中国国家安全环境产生了较为直接的影响。 |
英文摘要: |
The United States is acknowledged as an important center for grand strategy in theory and practice. In the post-Cold War era, “liberal hegemony” constitutes the basic connotation of the US grand strategy. Against the backdrop of America’s relative decline, President Trump’s National Security Strategy has shown that the United States is going to shift its grand strategy. This strategy has, in essence, subverted “liberal hegemony”. Apart from the strategic goals to pursue and consolidate its world hegemony, Trump’s grand strategy strongly emphasizes the deteriorating security environment and increasing external challenges facing the United States, advocates strengthening the economic and military power of the United States unilaterally, abandoning multilateralism and stopping to give support to international mechanisms so as to prevail in the future major-power rivalry. Given that Trump’s grand strategy, obviously contrary to the trend of international political and economic development, has inherent defects and may generate many uncertain effects, China’s national security environment is subject to its direct impact. |
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