李 巍.中国金融崛起的国际环境与战略应对[J].国际安全研究,2013,(4):44-63 |
中国金融崛起的国际环境与战略应对 |
The International Environment and Strategic Responses for China’s Financial Rise |
投稿时间:2012-09-25 修订日期:2013-04-23 |
DOI: |
中文关键词: 国际金融变革 中国金融崛起 中国金融外交 中国金融安全 国际金融治理 |
英文关键词: the transformation of international financial system, China’s financial rise, China’s financial diplomacy, global financial governance, China’s financial security |
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中文摘要: |
新兴国家的快速崛起和全球金融危机的爆发作为两股重要的力量,正在推动国际金融体系发生一场自布雷顿森林体系崩溃以来意义最为深远的变革。未来10–15年,全球金融体系将出现如下变化:国际金融治理机制实现从八国集团到二十国集团的彻底转变,而二十国集团的根本缺陷将意味着一个制度更加虚弱的金融治理时代的来临;主权财富基金和信用评级公司将成为全球金融体系新的重要行为体,进而加剧国际金融市场上的权力冲突;国际社会将加强对资本跨国流动的监管,新凯恩斯主义将取代“华盛顿共识”,成为影响国际资本流动的主流意识形态;而国际货币体系将出现从“美元独霸”向“一超多强”的转变,新兴国家将加快推动其货币的国际化进程,国际货币的竞争将更加激烈。这个转变过程将充满各种新旧力量的争夺和竞争,从而导致全球金融体系的动荡和不安。与此同时,中国逐渐进入从贸易崛起到金融崛起的新阶段,并开始深度介入国际金融关系,因此积极维护自身日益扩大的国际金融利益和国际金融安全逐渐成为中国对外战略的重要内容。对此,中国应该借助当下国际金融体系变革的各种有利时机,采取积极的金融外交手段来提升自身的国际金融地位,夯实自身的金融安全保障,以实现大国金融崛起的宏伟图景。 |
英文摘要: |
The rapid rise of the emerging nations and the eruption of global financial crisis are considered as two kinds of forces to promote significant transformation of the international financial system. It has played an important role in the following four aspects: the replacement of international financial governance mechanism, the diversification of international financial actors, the change of the trend of international capital flows and international monetary structure. At the same time, China is gradually stepping into a new and key period in terms of financial development. During the process of international financial order restructuring, China should defend its growing international financial interests through international financial diplomacy and domestic institutional reforms, namely, supporting G20, reforming the existing international financial institutions, anti-financial nationalism, speeding up its financial openness, enhancing Renminbi’s international status, etc. |
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