| 金灿荣,李燕燕.中美安全战略博弈中的历史与战略稳定性*[J].国际安全研究,2017,(2):3-26 |
| 中美安全战略博弈中的历史与战略稳定性* |
| The Secunity Strategic Gaming between China and the United States: Its History and Stability |
| 投稿时间：2016-12-05 修订日期：2017-02-20 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 中美关系 战略博弈 功能性伙伴关系 共同演进 |
| 英文关键词: China-US Relations, Security Strategy, Functional Relationship, Co-evolution |
| 基金项目: |
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| 摘要点击次数: 2157 |
| 全文下载次数: 2448 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 中美关系已经成为世界上最复杂且最重要的一对双边关系,两国之间既有竞争又有合作,既有结构性对抗又有利益捆绑,同时易受第三方因素影响。理解两国互动所蕴涵的这种复杂性并把握其动态特征,对于应对未来中美关系所面临的挑战和机遇至关重要。21世纪以来,中国的快速崛起以及随之而来的中美实力变化动摇了中美战略稳定的基础,美国的对华政策出现摇摆,双边关系在传统竞争领域之外还面临着新领域、新问题的竞争与摩擦,中美关系的不确定性增大。但这些挑战中也蕴涵了有利于未来发展的巨大机遇。中美两国的主体性特征、时代条件和历史条件是双方走出“守成国家与新兴大国必有一战”历史逻辑的基础。未来中国对美国外交将在不断创新的同时保持一贯性、连续性和稳定性。中国安全战略的首要任务将是把握机遇,以自我发展为核心,沉着应对周边局势,积极扩大外交布局并承担国际责任。在创造有利的国内国际环境的基础上,加强中美合作,管控危机,促进中美共同利益,通过建立功能性伙伴关系走上共同演进之路。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Sino-US relations, characterized by both competition and cooperation, have become the most important and complicated bilateral relations in the international arena. While China and the US face systematic confrontations, they share great mutual interests. Furthermore, the third-party factors also exert a profound impact on the Sino-US relations. Understanding the complexities inherent in the interactions between the two countries and grasping their dynamics are critical for dealing with the challenges and opportunities in the future Sino-US relations. Since the new millennium, China’s rapid rise and the subsequent changes in power distribution have shaken the foundation of the Sino-US relations and US policies towards China have experienced serious swings. New challenges and contradictions have emerged amid traditional areas of competition. The unpredictability in the future development of Sino-US relations has increased. But these challenges also contain great opportunities. The subjective characteristics of the two countries, historical conditions, and the current timing give rise to the possibility of breaking the historical logic in which a war would be unavoidable between the established power and a new rising power. In the future, China’s diplomacy towards the United States will be focused on maintaining consistency, continuity and stability in the bilateral relations by implementing innovative practices. In terms of security strategy, the top priority for China is to take advantage of opportunities to develop its economy, deal with the surrounding situation calmly, expand its diplomatic layout actively and assume corresponding international responsibilities. By creating a friendly domestic and international environment, China would strengthen the Sino-US cooperation, further control potential crises and promote mutual interests, and finally walk out the “Thucydides trap” by developing a functional partnership between the two countries. |
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