| 周亦奇.内战反对派武装的联盟构建与内部冲突——以叙利亚内战为例*[J].国际安全研究,2017,(2):125-147 |
| 内战反对派武装的联盟构建与内部冲突——以叙利亚内战为例* |
| Alliance Formation and Infighting among Rebel Groups: A Case Study of Syrian Civil Wa |
| 投稿时间：2016-07-15 修订日期：2016-11-08 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 反对派联盟 叙利亚内战 反对派武装 联盟构建 内部冲突 |
| 英文关键词: Rebel Group Alliance, Syrian Civil War, Rebel Group, Alliance Formation, Internal Conflict |
| 基金项目: |
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| 摘要点击次数: 2118 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 在内战进程中,不同的反对派武装组织有时会构建起联盟共同反抗政府军,而有时则会相互袭击引发内部冲突。对于此现象的解释已是当前内战研究理论的重点。通过回顾既有研究对此问题提出的物质因素和理念因素解释,文章认为单纯的理念因素和物质因素均无法解释反对派联盟的形式与瓦解。因此,文章提出了一个将物质因素和理念因素进行整合的分析框架,分析理念因素与物质因素交互影响反对派联盟形成和内部冲突。在政府军实力较强的情况下,理念因素无法起作用,而反对派内部实力均衡与否也将使得理念因素对联盟构建产生不同的影响,并且外部支持则会加强理念在反对派联盟形成中的影响作用。文章以叙利亚内战作为阐释性案例,采取案例内比较的方式,对提出的逻辑进行分析。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| During the civil war, various rebel groups may at times form alliances in their confrontation against the government, while at other times they may engage in fierce conflicts and fighting among themselves. Why does a rebel group that fights against the government become engaged in another struggle? This research topic has drawn much attention to the study of civil wars. When applied alone, neither the ideational factors nor the material factors are capable of providing satisfactory answers. This article may offer an integrated explanatory framework camping in the previous studies. It argues that the ideational factors, when interacted with the material factors, will influence rebel groups’ choice between alliance formation and internal conflict. When government’s repressive capacity is strong, ideational factors have more opportunities to exert their influence. The relative balance of power among rebel groups will diversify the influence of ideational factors, while the presence of external support will strengthen it. With the Syrian Civil War as an illustrative case,the article focuses on the explanatory framework by making comparative studies within it. |
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