Page 161 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第3期
P. 161

Vo1.  41,  No.  3, May/June  2023
                        encouraging the defeated state to move towards goodwill neutrality or follow a policy
                        of bandwagoning, and predicting the trend of major country relations after dominance
                        wars in a specific region.
                        [Keywords] defeated countries, war of revenge, war for dominance, major country
                        diplomacy, strategic competition
                        [Author] JIANG Peng, Associate Professor, School of International Relations, Sun
                        Yat-Sen University (Zhuhai, 519000).

                    79  Retrospective Compensation Claims and Catalyzaton of International
                        Wars
                        LIU Minwei and LI Jiapeng

                        [Abstract] Existing rationalist theories on the causes of war hold that the calculation
                        of expected utility about future gains and losses of war plays a dominant role in states’
                        choices of conflict behavior. The inclusion of sunk costs and various past interactions
                        into utility calculation is regarded as irrational under the above theoretical path. This
                        theoretical bias limits the explanatory power of rationalist theories on the causes of
                        war. In fact, concerns about sunk costs related to material and time lead to extreme
                        sensitivity to relative gains when state actors interact with each other. In order to avoid
                        the power imbalance caused by the excessive accumulation of relative material gains
                        or time advantages of a specific party, the state that thinks itself to be in the frame of
                        loss will from time to time claim retrospective compensations that cannot be accepted
                        by the other party, so that the common ground on which the conflict settlement plan
                        can be reached is greatly compressed. In addition, the cognitive gap between two
                        parties when judging the decision-making framework of the other side increases the
                        willingness to take risks and leads to an overestimation of the other side’s hostility
                        and an underestimation of the other side’s determination to get engaged in the conflict,
                        which increases the likelihood of the conflict escalating into war. The Ukraine Crisis
                        and the pre-World War I military mobilization can be regarded as two typical cases to
                        demonstrate,  respectively,  the  victim-perpetrator  strategic  interactions  around  the
                        competition for material interests and the posterior strategy to gain a time advantage.
                        [Keywords] retrospective claims, victimhood, posterior strategy, the Ukraine crisis,
                        World War I
                        [Authors] LIU Minwei, Assistant Professor, School of Political Science and Public
                        Administration,  Wuhan  University  (Wuhan,  430072);  LI  Jiapeng,  Ph.D.  Student,
                        School of International Studies, Renmin University of China (Beijing, 100872).

                   106   The  Complexity  of  Securitization  of  Gender:  A  Case  Study  of
                        Women, Peace and Security Agenda

                        LI Yingtao and WANG Haimei

                        [Abstract] Security is one of the core concepts in international relations. Since the end
                        of  the  Cold  War,  there  have  been  new  developments  in  security  studies  that  are
                        diametrically different from the traditional security researches centered on national
                        military  security.  In  the  1990s,  the  constructivist  theory  of  securitization  was  put
                        forward by the Copenhagen School. Feminist security studies attach great importance
                        to the relationship between gender and security, arguing that the securitization theory
                        of the Copenhagen School fails to include a concept of gendered security and has no
                        concept of gender-based insecurity. With the joint efforts of all stakeholders, the UN

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