Page 44 - 《国际安全研究》2025年第3期
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ϟಃӻ֥ᇅ؇ਫ਼ࣥğૅݓνಆᇅ؇֥ٚэథઆࠠ
δжε့㛷䇚⸛φງ䙖㗄ളᆿޞᓜᯯ⮛Ⲻ俌㾷ഖ㍖
ޣҾഭᇦྲօ䙊䗷ഭ䱵ࡦᓖᓄሩཆ䜘ᆹޘᡈˈࡦᓖࡦ㺑⨶䇪ᤷࠪˈഭᇦਟԕ
ķ
䙊䗷ਁ䎧ǃ࡙⭘઼ѫሬཊ䗩ࡦᓖᶕᓄሩ࣋ᡆေ㛱DŽ ൘ࡦᓖᐕާᙗ䇪ǃေ㛱ࡦ
㺑⨶䇪оࡦᓖࡦ㺑⨶䇪Ⲵสкˈ䵨ᵳഭ൘䶒Ѥ䖳ᕪⲴေ㛱ᰦнӵՊ䙊䗷⢙䍘ᙗ࣋
䟿ᶕᇎ⧠⺜ࡦ㺑ˈ䘈Պ䙊䗷ࡦᓖᶕᇎ⧠䖟ࡦ㺑DŽᆹޘࡦᓖѪᆹޘᡈ⮕Ⲵ䟽㾱㓴ᡀ
䜘࠶ˈҏՊ൘н਼Ⲵေ㛱䇔⸕〻ᓖлᖒᡀᓄⲴࡦᓖᯩ⮕DŽ
㖾ഭ൘ᣔᤱ䵨ᵳ〙ᒿᰦˈՊṩᦞေ㛱䇔⸕〻ᓖߣᇊ䘹ᤙवᇩᙗ䘈ᱟᧂԆᙗⲴᆹ
ޘࡦᓖᯩ⮕DŽаᯩ䶒ˈᖃ䵨ᵳ〙ᒿ䶒Ѥᡈնေ㛱䇔⸕〻ᓖ䖳վᰦˈ㖾ഭՊ〟ᶱᶴ
ᔪवᇩᙗᆹޘࡦᓖˈԕ㔤ᣔ䵨ᵳਸ⌅ᙗDŽ䘉ਸ⌅ᙗнӵṩⓀҾབྷഭⲴ㓿⍾оߋһ
㜭࣋ˈ㘼фփ⧠Ҿަ൘ޘ⨳㡎ਠкᢞ╄Ⲵԧ٬㿲о㿴㤳ᕅ亶㘵Ⲵ䀂㢢DŽ㖇՟⢩gਹ
ቄᒣ ˄Robert Gipin˅ᖂ㓣Ҷਆᗇ䵨ᵳ↓ᖃᙗⲴй亩ḷᘇˈ࠶࡛ᱟ䵨ᵳᡈҹⲴ㜌࡙ǃ
ĸ
ሩ㓿⍾᭦⳺઼ᆹޘ؍䳌ㅹ Āޜ⳺āⲴ㔉ԕ৺䇶ᖒᘱⲴ੨ᕅ࣋DŽ ਖаᯩ䶒ˈᖃ
㖾ഭ䵨ᵳᣔᤱ䶒Ѥᡈˈфေ㛱䇔⸕〻ᓖ䖳儈ᰦˈ㖾ഭՊሶᡈ⮕䟽⛩䖜ੁ㔤ᣔ䵨ᵳ
Ⲵ᭟䝽ᙗˈ䙊䗷࣐ᕪৼ䗩઼ᧂԆᙗཊ䗩ᆹޘਸᶕራ≲䍴ⓀӔᦒˈᖒᡀࡦᓖࡦ㺑DŽ
Ĺ
䵨ᵳっᇊ䇪䇔Ѫˈṩᦞ㓿⍾ᆖѝ䗩䱵᭦⳺䙂߿⌅ࡉˈ䵨ᵳᗵ❦㺠㩭DŽ ൘䵨ᵳᣔᤱ
䗷〻ѝˈᰒᴹⲴवᇩᙗཊ䗩ѫѹᐢ㓿ᰐ⌅ᨀᴹ᭸Ⲵ䍴Ⓚ㔉DŽ䖳ѻлˈᧂԆᙗ
ᆹޘࡦᓖ㜭ཏ൘ᴤ儈〻ᓖкᨀॷ䍴Ⓚ䝽㖞Ⲵ䪸ሩᙗоӔᦒ᭸⦷ˈᴹࣙҾᇎ⧠ؑޡ
ӛǃᡀᵜ࠶᩺оᡈ⮕ॿ䈳ˈӾ㘼໎ᕪࡦᓖ䘀Ⲵᇎ䱵᭸㜭DŽ䲿⵰䵨ᵳᣔᤱᡰ䴰ᡀᵜ
Ⲵнᯝкॷˈ䵨ᵳഭਟ⭘ҾᣵࡦᓖᙗᡀᵜⲴ㓿⍾࢙։䙀⑀㕙߿DŽ↔ᰦˈᨀޜޡ
ӗ૱䴰㾱ԈࠪⲴԓԧᰕ⳺儈ᰲˈ㘼⭡↔㧧ᗇⲴ䗩䱵എᣕতᤱ㔝л䱽ˈ⧠ࠪᡀᵜ᭦
⳺قᤲⲴ㔃ᶴᙗ⸋DŽ
ྲօ㺑䟿ေ㛱䇔⸕Ⲵ〻ᓖ˛ѫ⍱ഭ䱵ޣ㌫⨶䇪ሩ↔Ҷ䖳ཊ䱀䘠DŽ൘㓿ި⧠ᇎ
ĺ
ѫѹ㘵ⴻᶕˈေ㛱ᱟᵳ࣋нሩ〠Ⲵ࠭ᮠDŽ ഐ↔ˈေ㛱〻ᓖ䴰㾱ṩᦞᵳ࣋Ⲵབྷሿᶕ
㺑䟿DŽ㛟ቬᙍgॾቄީ˄Kenneth Waltz˅ᕪ䈳Ҷഭ䱵փ㌫㔃ᶴሩေ㛱䇔⸕઼ᡈҹⲴᖡ
ķ Kai He, “Institutional Balancing and International Relations Theory: Economic Interdependence
and Balance of Power Strategies in Southeast Asia,” European Journal of International Relations,
Vol. 14, No. 3, 2008, p. 493.
ĸ Robert Gipin, War and Change in World Politics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
1981, p. 34.
Ĺ Isabelle Grunberg, “Exploring the ‘Myth’ of Hegemonic Stability,” International Organization,
Vol. 44, No. 44, 1990, p. 431.
ĺ David Rousseau, Identifying Threats and Threatening Identities: The Social Construction of
Realism and Liberalism, Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2006, p. 19.
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