Page 66 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第3期

ᅞϧᆭުğ൞گԕؓॆߎ൞ሔෛࢲૐĤ

ྲ᷌ᡈ䍕ഭ൘ᡈਾᵳ࣋㔤ᓖл䱽ˈࡉᆳਟ㜭ഐઘ䗩ㅜйᯩᡈ⮕᭼᡻Ⲵ儈ᓖ㓖
ᶏᙗˈ׍ᦞĀєᇣ⴨ᵳਆަ䖫āⲴ䙫䗁㘼䘹ᤙ㶽ਸေ㛱Ⲵ䘭䲿DŽ ∅ㄏަоᡈ㜌
ķ
ഭѻ䰤Ⲵ⸋⴮ᐢ㓿䙊䗷઼ᒣᶑ㓖ᗇࡠҶᴹ᭸㕃䀓DŽ਼ᰦˈᡈ㜌ഭҏᝯ᜿ᵜ⵰ߔᇦ
ᇌ䀓нᇌ㔃Ⲵ䙫䗁ˈሩᰐ࣋޽ᓖ᥁ᡈަѫሬᵳф〟ᶱĀᛄ᭩āⲴᡈ䍕ഭҸԕᇭ䎖
઼᣹ᤒDŽ ĸ ൘↔ᛵߥлˈᵳ࣋㔤ᓖ䱽㓗Ⲵᡈ䍕ഭᴤਟ㜭䙊䗷䘹ᤙѫࣘ䘭䲿ᡈ㜌ഭ

Ⲵᯩᔿᶕ䈻≲㧧ᗇਾ㘵Ⲵ؍ᣔˈُԕ䚯ݽᶕ㠚ަԆާᴹေ㛱㍗䘛ᙗⲴᡈ⮕ㄎҹ㘵
ⲴҼ⅑Քᇣ˄৲㿱㺘 1˅DŽ

㺞 ᡎ䍛ള㺂Ѱ䘿᤟㊱ශौⲺ᭵⋱䙱䗇਀ެ⢯ᖷ
㔃ᶴᙗഐ㍐/ᛵ࣯ᙗഐ㍐ ᆈ൘ަԆᡈ⮕᭼᡻ ⋑ᴹަԆᡈ⮕᭼᡻
ᛵ࣯ ᴹᇎ࣋ˈնᴹަԆ亮㲁 ᛵ࣯ ᴹᇎ࣋ˈфᰐ亮㲁
ᵳ࣋㔤ᓖ⴨਼ 䙫䗁 Ā哴䳰൘ਾāⲴ䘋䘰є䳮 䙫䗁 Āьኡ޽䎧āⲴӽᆈ㜌㇇

⢩ᖱ ᭼᜿ǃሩᣇоܥᤱ ⢩ᖱ 〟ᶱ߶༷༽ӷᡈҹ
ᛵ࣯ ᰐᇎ࣋ˈфᴹަԆ亮㲁 ᛵ࣯ ᰐᇎ࣋ˈфᰐ亮㲁
ᵳ࣋㔤ᓖ䱽㓗 䙫䗁 Āєᇣ⴨ᵳāⲴ㶽ਸေ㛱 䙫䗁 ĀоцᰐҹāⲴ㿴䚯仾䲙

⢩ᖱ ُ䟽ǃ䘭䲿ᡆ㔃ⴏ ⢩ᖱ ᆔ・ǃ䳀䘰ᡆѝ・
䍴ᯉᶕⓀ˖֌㘵㠚ࡦDŽ

δпεᡎ䍛ള㺂Ѱ䘿᤟ᐤᔸौ⨼䇰Ⲻะᵢٽ䈪
ᵜ亩⹄ウ䇔Ѫˈᡈ䍕ഭ㹼Ѫ䘹ᤙᐞᔲॆⲴṩⓀᱟ㔃ᶴᙗഐ㍐઼ᛵ࣯ᙗഐ㍐Ҽ㘵

ޡ਼֌⭘Ⲵ㔃᷌DŽަѝˈ㔃ᶴᙗഐ㍐փ⧠Ѫᡈ䍕ഭ㠚䇔ަ⧠ᴹᇎ࣋ᡆᡈҹ▌㜭ᱟ੖

ķ Randall M. Schweller, “Bandwagoning for Profit: Bringing the Revisionist State Back In,”
International Security, Vol. 19, No. 1, 1994, p. 81; Lloyd Gruber, Ruling the World: Power Politics and
the Rise of Supranational Institutions, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2000, p. 50; Stephen M.
Walt, “Alliances in a Unipolar,” World Politics, Vol. 61, No. 1, 2009, p. 89; Kevin Sweeney and Paul
Fritz, “Jumping on the Bandwagon: An Interest-Based Explanation for Great Power Alliance,” The
Journal of Politics, Vol. 66, No. 2, 2004, p. 433; Thomas J. Christensen and Jack L. Snyder, “Chain
Gangs and Passed Bucks: Predicting Alliance Patterns in Multipolarity,” International Organization,
Vol. 44, No. 2, 1990, pp. 137-168; Denis Mack Smith, Mussolini, New York: Alfred A. Knopf, Inc.,
1982, pp. 234-235, 246-250; Adam Ulam, Expansion and Coexistence: Soviet Foreign Policy,
1917-1973, New York: Holt Rinehart and Winston, Inc., 1974, pp. 394-398; A. J. P. Taylor, The First
World War: An Illustrated History, New York: Perigee Books, 1980, pp. 88-90, 153.
ĸ Winston S. Churchill, Memoirs of the Second World War, Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company,
1959, pp. 980, 999-1000˗㢮⪎ݻg䴽ᐳᯟ劽࿶˖ljᶱㄟⲴᒤԓ˖1914-1991NJˈ䜁᰾㩡䈁ˈѝؑ
ࠪ⡸⽮ 2014 ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ 346-347 亥DŽ
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