Page 98 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第3期

߭ිྟ౰ӊაݓ࠽ᅞᆚ֥Ⴚؿ澳

ᯟઘ䗩ഭᇦѳ㠣ަ㠚䓛޵䜘ᆹޘⲴ᭯⋫⯵∂DŽ ״㖇ᯟ᢯䈪ሺ䟽Ѽݻޠ⤜・ǃ亶൏
ķ
ᆼᮤⲴࡽᨀഐ↔ҏн༽ᆈ൘DŽ״㖇ᯟ㠚䓛ਁኅᡰ䚝䙷Ⲵ޵䜘㓿⍾⌒ࣘǃཆ䜘ᡈ⮕ത

๥ҏ㻛䎺ᶕ䎺ཊൠᖂાҾѼݻޠⲴĀᜩᱟ⭏䶎āDŽ ഐ㘼ˈѼݻޠ֌Ѫሬ㠤״㖇ᯟ
ĸ
ᡈ⮕ഠຳⲴ࣐ᇣ㘵䴰㾱㻛≲گѳ㠣᜙ᡂDŽ
δӂεਂ䠃ᦕཧṼᷬсⲺਏӁᯍҿᇔ䍞ौ

״Ѽ൘䘋ޕ 21 ц㓚ԕᶕⲴа㌫ࡇৼ䗩ডᵪ䘋а↕◰⍫ᒦᕪॆҶสҾ⎸ᶱশਢ
䇠ᗶ㘼ᔪᶴ䎧ⲴߢケሬੁⲴᰒᴹ㔃ᶴDŽ൘ᰒᴹ㔃ᶴоᯠডᵪޡ਼ᖡ૽лˈਾ㔝ডᵪ
৸᧕䑥㘼ᶕDŽ ൘䘉⿽ডᵪⲴ䬮ᔿ৽ᓄѝˈ⇿⅑ডᵪᡆߢケѝⲴ≲گཡ䍕ˈ䜭᜿ણ
Ĺ
⵰ৼᯩ࠶↗Ⲵᤱ㔝ᙗᢙབྷDŽഐѪᯠа䖞ডᵪⲴ≲گᯩṸ䜭ਟ㜭ᔪ・൘৏ᴹᯩṸⲴ࡙

⳺䇹≲ѻкᒦਐ࣐кᯠডᵪѝԈࠪⲴᡀᵜDŽᴰ㓸ˈৼᯩ׍ᢈਇᇣ㘵䓛ԭ㘼ኅᔰⲴᯇ
ҹнਟ䚯ݽൠ⭡ᵜփᆹޘੁᇎփᆹޘǃ⭡վ᭯⋫ੁ儈᭯⋫亶ฏ㭃ᔦˈケࠪ㺘⧠Ѫത
㔅⧠ᇎ࡙⳺Ⲵҹཪ◰⛸ॆԕ৺ᖬ↔ᆹޘ࡙⳺Ⲵ儈ᓖᣥ䀖DŽ

ത㔅唁⎧㡠䱏࠶ࢢǃṨ↖ಘ䬰⇱ㅹ䘉Ӌ㣿㚄ᡈ⮕䚇ӗⲴ࠶ࢢ㘼ӗ⭏Ⲵ״Ѽ喳喹
㲭❦൘ 20 ц㓚ᵛสᵜቈෳ㩭ᇊˈնᡀѪ״ǃѼ࠶࡛⤜・ѻਾ਴㠚ਇᇣ㘵䓛ԭᔪᶴ
Ⲵᯠ㍐ᶀˈᕪॆশਢкᐢ❦ᖒᡀⲴਇᇣ㘵䓛ԭDŽ㘼״Ѽєഭത㔅⋩≄䍴ⓀⲴ㓐㪋䍟
ク״Ѽത㔅唁⎧㡠䱏࠶ࢢǃṨ↖ಘ䬰⇱Ⲵᮤњ䗷〻ˈ фᤱ㔝㠣ӺˈᡀѪ⁚ӈ൘״
ĺ
Ѽޣ㌫ѝ䳮ԕݻᴽⲴ亭⯮DŽ
2006 ᒤˈѼݻޠ䇞Պ䘹Ѯࡽˈ״㖇ᯟケ❦ሶᨀ׋㔉ѼݻޠⲴཙ❦≄ԧṬᨀॷ
㠣ᐲ൪ԧ≤ᒣˈ״Ѽཙ❦≄ডᵪ⠶ਁDŽডᵪ⠶ਁᰦᵪⲴ⢩↺ᙗ㻛ཆ⭼䀓䈫Ѫ״㖇ᯟ

Ļ
䈅മԕ㜭ⓀѪᐕާᖡ૽ቔݸ、᭯ᵳⲴ޵᭯䎠ੁDŽ ״㖇ᯟݸࡽԕ䘌վҾᐲ൪ԧⲴԧ
Ṭੁ⤜㚄փഭᇦᨀ׋ᓹԧཙ❦≄ˈަࡽᨀᶑԦᱟ৏㣿㚄࣐ⴏޡ઼ഭሩ״Ⲵᡈ⮕׍
䱴ˈഐ↔ˈаᰖ㛼⿫״Ⲵᡈ⮕䖘䚃ˈᓹԧཙ❦≄׋㔉Ⲵࡽᨀׯн༽ᆈ൘DŽ״㖇ᯟੁ
䘉Ӌഭᇦ䗃䘱ᓹԧཙ❦≄ᑖᶕⲴ㓿⍾࡙⳺ਐ࣐״㖇ᯟӾઘ䗩ሿഭⲴᡈ⮕׍䱴ѝ㧧

澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳
ķ ੤᮷ᡀ˖ljӾ、㍒⊳ᡈҹࡠѼݻޠডᵪ˖े㓖ьᢙо״㖇ᯟⲴĀᡈ⮕㿹䟂āNJˈlj״㖇ᯟь
⅗ѝӊ⹄ウNJ2022 ᒤㅜ 3 ᵏˈㅜ 23 亥DŽ
ĸ ∅⍚ъ˖ljӾডᵪࡠᡈҹ˖״㖇ᯟᵜփᆹޘо״ѼߢケNJˈljཆӔ䇴䇪NJ2022 ᒤㅜ 2 ᵏˈ
ㅜ 48-49 亥DŽ
Ĺ Paul D’Anieri, Ukraine and Russia: From Civilized Divorce to Uncivil War, Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2019, p. 2.
ĺ ᆻঊ˖lj޽״㖇ᯟॆⲴᐕާ䘹ᤙ˖״㖇ᯟ㜭Ⓚ⋫⨶NJˈ␵ॾབྷᆖ⽮Պ、ᆖᆖ䲒ঊ༛䇪᮷ˈ
2016ˈㅜ 94-95 亥DŽ
Ļ Andrei Tsygankov, “Vladimir Putin’s Last Stand: The Sources of Russia’s Ukraine Policy,”
Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol. 31, No. 4, 2015, p. 283.
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