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2023 ഐݾ 3 澳
ޣ㌫ˈᯩਟ㻛ߣㆆѫփᲠൠᝏ⸕ࡠDŽ ഭ䱵ডᵪⲴ⠶ਁ䱦⇥ᱟഭ䱵ӂࣘ䗷〻ѝᰦ
ķ
䰤ᗳ⨶䍖ᡧ᱃Ҿᔪ・ⲴިරᛵຳDŽ↔ᰦˈഭᇦ⧠儈ᓖᰦ䰤ᝏ⣦ᘱǃᰦ䰤㾱㍐᱃
Ҿ䖜ॆѪഭ䱵ㄎҹՈ࣓ᘱ࣯DŽ൘ডᵪᛵຳлˈത㔅ᰦ䰤ኅᔰⲴഎⓟᙗ≲گ㹼Ѫሬ㠤
ߢケॷ㓗Ⲵާփᵪࡦ൘Ҿ˖
俆ݸˈ൘ডᵪ㇑⨶䱦⇥ˈሩҾਾਁࡦӪⲴ䘭≲䘋а↕㕙⸝Ҷᵜቡॱ࠶ᴹ䲀Ⲵ
ഭ䱵ॿ䈳ᰦ䰤DŽഭ䱵ডᵪ⠶ਁᵏ䰤ˈᯩ儈ᓖᡂ༷ˈݸਁࡦӪᑖᶕⲴݸࣘՈ࣯䈡֯
ᯩᣒݸ㹼ࣘDŽሩҾ䘉⿽ݸਁࡦӪᴹ᭸ᙗⲴᲞ䙽䇔਼ˈ֯ᗇঊᔸተѝӪሩҾሩⲴ
ݸਁࡦӪߢࣘᴹ䏣ཏⲴ䇔⸕ˈ䘋㘼࣐㠚䓛ⲴݸਁࡦӪߢࣘDŽྲ↔䘝ԓᡰᖒᡀⲴޡ
ᴹ⸕䇶֯ᗇ䟷ਆݸਁࡦӪㆆ⮕Ⲵਟ㜭ᙗ㷪кॷDŽ൘䘉а䱦⇥䘭≲ਾਁࡦӪˈણ
⵰൘Ḁ⿽〻ᓖк㾱䈡֯ሩᯩ俆ݸфቭᘛࣘˈӖণ啃࣡ሩᯩ䟷ਆ䘋᭫ᙗ㹼Ѫˈ䘉ṧ
аᶕቡࡺᕡҶሩᯩ䟷ਆ㕃઼ㆆ⮕Ⲵਟ㜭ᙗDŽ
ަ⅑ˈሩᯩаᰖ䟷ਆ㹼ࣘᡆ㺘䵢ࠪሶ㾱䟷ਆ㹼ࣘⲴ㓶ᗞᖱݶˈᐡᯩቡ㾱䟷ਆᴤ
ѪѕহⲴ㹼ࣘԕᕕ㺕ᰦ䰤ᦏཡሬ㠤Ⲵਾਁ࣓࣯ˈྲ↔ׯ䘋а↕㕙Ҷᓄሩᰦ䰤DŽ䘉
ᰐ⯁ሶ䱽վᯩߣㆆ䍘䟿DŽޣ⹄ウᱮ⽪ˈ൘ডᵪᛵຳѻлˈߣㆆѫփⲴޣ⌘㜭࣋
ᵜቡ䶎ᑨᴹ䲀DŽѪҶ儈᭸ᓄሩডᵪˈ൘ᒣᑨᰦᵏਟ㜭ᆈ൘Ⲵ䈨ཊㆆ⮕༷䘹亩Պ㻛ߣ
ㆆ㘵བྷ䟿ࢄ䲔ˈਚ࢙л㜭ཏᑖᶕᴰབྷ⺞ᇊᙗⲴ䘹亩DŽ ൘䘉а䱦⇥ˈডᵪ䎺◰⛸ˈ
ĸ
䘉⿽ߣㆆオ䰤ਇࡠⲴ㕙ቡ䎺᰾ᱮˈߣㆆ㘵ሩҾᰒᇊ䇔⸕㔃ᶴҏ䎺䎆ˈᖒᡀ䈨ྲ
ᝯᵋᙍ㔤ㅹ䇔⸕ٿ㿱䘋㘼䈡ਁ䈟ࡔᒦሬ㠤ߢケⲴਟ㜭ᙗҏቡ䎺བྷDŽ
Ĺ
ᴰਾˈ䘭≲ਾਁࡦӪԕᕕ㺕ᰦ䰤ᦏཡⲴ㹼Ѫણ⵰᭮ᔳߣㆆⲴѫࣘᵳ઼⺞ᇊ
ᙗˈ㻛ࣘㅹᖵሩᯩⲴㆆ⮕䘹ᤙᒦ൘↔สкࡦᇊㆆ⮕DŽ 䟷ਆݸਁࡦӪㆆ⮕ᰦˈྲ
ĺ
օ㹼ࣘǃօᰦ㹼ࣘ䜭⭡ᐡᯩߣᇊˈᵜഭਟԕ䘹ᴰᴹ࡙ҾᐡᯩⲴᯩᔿǃൠ⛩оᰦᵪ
澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳
ķ Dilip Soman, “The Mental Accounting of Sunk Time Costs˖Why Time is not like Money,”
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Vol. 14, No. 3, 2001.
ĸ Ithiel de Sola Pool and Allan Kessler, “The Kaiser, The Tsar, and The Computer: Information
Processing in a Crisis,”American Behavioral Scientist, Vol. 8, No. 9, 1965, pp. 33-34.
Ĺ Jerel A. Rosati, “The Power of Human Cognition in the Study of World Politics,” International
Studies Review, Vol. 2, No. 3, p. 57; Ole R. Holsti, “Foreign Policy Viewed Cognitively,” in Robert
Axelrod ed., Structure of Decision: The Cognitive Maps of Politics Elites, Princeton: Princeton
University Press, 1976, p. 30.
ĺ ᐤ䟼g⌒˖ljߋһᆖ䈤ⲴᶕⓀ˖є⅑ц⭼བྷᡈѻ䰤Ⲵ⌅ഭǃ㤡ഭ઼ᗧഭNJˈẵ❦䈁ˈк
⎧Ӫ≁ࠪ⡸⽮ 2013 ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ 39 亥DŽ
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