Page 101 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第3期

2023 ഐݾ 3 ඼澳

㓯֌ᡈ䖜ᦒᡀᰦᒿкࡽਾ⴨㔗Ⲵє൪ᡈҹDŽ ൘ᗧഭᙫޥ࣋нާ༷㔍ሩՈ࣯Ⲵᛵߥ
ķ
лˈ䈕ߋһ䇑ࡂ㾱≲ᗧഭ俆ݸਆᗇሩ⌅ᡈҹⲴߣᇊᙗ䙏㜌ˈ 㘼ਾሶߋһ䘋᭫Ⲵ䟽
ĸ
⛩䈳ᮤ㠣ᗧ״а㓯ˈ䘋㘼൘ࠫ⒳״ߋⲴ਼ᰦˈ࡙⭘⌅ഭཡ䍕㘼״ഭїཡཆᨤⲴተ䶒ˈ
䙬䘛״ഭᣅ䱽DŽ䘉аተ䶒Ⲵྲᵏࠪ⧠ᗵ享ԕ״ഭ⴨ሩ㕃ធⲴࣘઈ઼ߋ䱏䜘㖢䙏ᓖѪ
ࡽᨀDŽ Ӿᡈ⮕᧘䘋Ⲵᰦ〻ᶕⴻˈ⮉㔉ᗧഭⲴ㹼ࣘᰦ䰤ᇎ䱵䶎ᑨᴹ䲀ˈᗧഭⲴሩ⌅
Ĺ
ߋһ㹼ࣘ㤕᧘䘋㕃ធᡆ䚝䙷䱫⺽ˈሶབྷབྷ㕙⸝ᗧഭ䘋㹼ᡈ⮕ᵪࣘⲴਟ⭘ᰦ䰤ˈᴰ㓸
ሬ㠤ᮤњᯭ䟼㣜䇑ࡂⲴཡ䍕DŽѪ䚯ݽ䘉аഠຳⲴࠪ⧠ˈᗧߋ⭊㠣нᜌ⹤ൿ∄࡙ᰦⲴ
ѝ・ˈ⭈߂ᕅਁ㤡ഭӻޕⲴ仾䲙DŽᴤѪ㠤ભⲴᱟˈ״ഭߋһᇎ࣋ቔަᱟᡈ⮕䘀䗃㜭
࣋൘ 1913 ᒤѻਾⲴᨀॷ䘋а↕㕙⸝Ҷᗧഭਟ䍴࡙⭘Ⲵ㹼ࣘᰦ䰤ˈӾ㘼䘋а↕䱽վ

Ҷᯭ䟼㣜䇑ࡂਆᗇᡀ࣏Ⲵਟ㜭ᙗDŽ
ĺ
Ѫݻᴽᯭ䟼㣜䇑ࡂ䎺ᶕ䎺᳤䵢ᰐ䚇Ⲵ޵൘㕪䲧ˈᗧഭ⨶䇪кਟӾєᯩ䶒ޕ᡻ሩ
↔࣐ԕݻᴽ˖аᱟ䙊䗷ᢙབྷ䱶ߋ㿴⁑ǃ㻵༷ᵰՔ࣋ᴤᕪⲴ䱶ߋ↖ಘԕ໎࣐䱶ߋⲴᇎ

࣋ᆈ䟿˗ Ҽᱟ࡙⭘㓴㓷ǃ㇑⨶ᢰ㜭ᨀॷߋһ䍴Ⓚᆈ䟿Ⲵ֯⭘᭸⦷DŽᖬᰦⲴᗧഭ俆
Ļ
ݸ䘹ᤙҶࡽаᶑⴻլᴤѪׯᦧⲴ䐟㓯ԕ㕃䀓ᡈ⮕ഠຳDŽ䶒ሩᶕ㠚ь㾯є㓯Ⲵᐘབྷ䱶
кߋһ঻࣋ˈᗧഭڌ→਼㤡ഭ䘋㹼ҶཊᒤⲴ⎧ߋߋ༷ㄎ䎋ˈᒦ䙊䗷а㌫ࡇ⌅Ṹԕׯ
ሶ䎺ᶕ䎺ཊⲴ䍴Ⓚᥩ⌘ࡠ䱶ߋᔪ䇮ѝ৫DŽ ቭ㇑ྲ↔ˈᗧഭⲴ䱶ߋᇎ࣋ӽᵚ㜭ᆼޘ
ļ
┑䏣ᯭ䟼㣜䇑ࡂᰙᵏ⡸ᵜⲴ֌ᡈ㾱≲ˈ ↔ཆˈ⭡Ҿ״ഭᐘབྷⲴփ䟿৺ަࠐ䘁ᰐ䲀
Ľ

澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳澳
ķ ㅜа⅑ц⭼བྷᡈࡽˈᰦԫᗧߋᙫ৲䈻䮯䎛ቄぶ⢩g㓖㘠޵ᯟg䐟ᗧ㔤ᐼgߟg∋ཷ
˄Helmuth Johannes Ludwig von Moltkeˈ࡛਽ሿ∋ཷ˅ሩᯭ䟼㣜䇑ࡂ䘋㹼Ҷ؞↓DŽ⴨ޣ䇪䘠ਟ৲
㘳 Annika Mombauer, “Of War Plans and War Guilt: The Debate Surrounding the Schlieffen Plan,”
Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 28, No. 5, 2005DŽ
ĸ ⬖ቄ⢩gᠸ࡙㥘˖ljᗧߋᙫ৲䈻䜘˖1650ü1945NJˈᡤ㘰ݸ䈁ˈ⎧ইࠪ⡸⽮ 2004 ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ
116-118 亥DŽ
Ĺ Jack Snyder, The Ideology of the Offensive: Military Decision Making and the Disaster of
1914, Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1984, p. 107.
ĺ David Stevenson, “War by Timetable? The Railway Race before 1914,” Past and Present, Vol.
162, No. 1, 1999, p. 178.
Ļ ቡާփᢙߋ䐟㓯㘼䀰ˈᗧߋᙫ৲䈻䜘ራ≲Ӫ࣋ᢙݵˈ㘼ᗧഭᡈҹ䜘ٿྭ↖ಘᕪॆDŽৼᯩ
䐟㓯࠶↗ⴤࡠ 1914 ᒤ䜭ᵚ㜭ᕕਸDŽ৲㿱 Holger H. Herwig, “From Tirpitz Plan to Schlieffen Plan:
Some Observations on German Military Planning,” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 9, No. 1, 1986, p. 58DŽ
ļ 亮ޘ˖ljབྷ䱶ᕪഭо⎧кࡦ㺑˖1888ü1914 ᒤᗧഭⲴ⎧ߋᢙᕐNJˈк⎧Ӫ≁ࠪ⡸⽮ 2020
ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ 416-423 亥DŽ
Ľ Terence Zuber, “The Schlieffen Plan Reconsidered,” War in History, Vol. 6, No. 3, 1999,
p. 266.
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