Page 72 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第3期

ᅞϧᆭުğ൞گԕؓॆߎ൞ሔෛࢲૐĤ

ܥᤱሩᣇ㘼䶎・࡫༽ӷ䘋᭫ˈᮉ、Җ㡜ൠ䈐䟺Ҷ䈕⨶䇪ٷ䈤Ⲵ⥌ᜣDŽаᯩ䶒ˈ⌅ഭ
ӽ❦؍ᴹ༽ӷⲴ㜭઼࣋㜌㇇˗ਖаᯩ䶒ˈ㻛خᯟ哖བྷ䱶਼ⴏᆔ・Ⲵ⌅ഭ৸ਇഠҾઘ

䗩ྕसᑍഭ઼᜿བྷ࡙Ⲵ⢥ࡦˈ㕪ѿঅ⤜ࠫ䍕ᗧഭⲴᵪՊDŽഐ↔ˈ൘Პ⌅ᡈҹ㔃ᶏਾ
Ⲵ 20 ᒤᰦ䰤䟼ˈ⌅ഭሩᗧഭ䮯ᵏ༴Ҿа⿽ӷ㿶ሩᣇնᰐ⌅ਁࣘ༽ӷᡈҹⲴܥተѻ
ѝDŽк䘠㔃ᶴоᛵ࣯Ⲵ㓴ਸᴹ࣋ൠ䇱᰾ᖃᡈ䍕ഭ䇔Ѫ㠚䓛оᡈ㜌ഭӽ༴Ҿ⴨਼ᵳ࣋

㔤ᓖˈ਼ᰦઘ䗩৸ᆈ൘ㅜйᯩᡈ⮕᭼᡻ᰦˈަ൘є㓯ᡈ⮕঻࣋лˈ䘹ᤙㅹᖵᰦᵪⲴ
ܥᤱሩᣇ᜿ᝯᴰѪ᰾ᱮDŽ
䘉аṸֻⲴਖањ੟⽪൘Ҿˈ⌅ഭⲴ༽ӷࣘᵪᒦнԕᗧഭᯩ䶒Ⲵ仁㑱⽪ྭѪ䖜
〫DŽ ਼⨶ˈ⌅ഭⲴӷᚘҏᒦнԕخᯟ哖൘Პ⌅ᡈҹਾᵏሩ⌅ഭ֯㘵ᵡቄg⌅ཛቄ
ķ
˄Jules Favre˅Ⲵ㴞⁚㋇励ᡆሩ⌅ഭⲴᶱㄟ঻ῘѪṩᦞDŽ ⌅ഭӪⰋᚘⲴᱟᡈ䍕ਾⲴ
ĸ
⌅ഭཡ৫Ҷ 250 ᒤ⅗䱶䵨ѫൠսˈ㘼䶎ᗧഭᡈਾሩ⌅ഭⲴ঻ῘDŽӾᲞ⌅ᡈҹ㔃ᶏࡍ
ᵏⲴ҄⋫gᐳᵇ✝˄Georges Boulanger˅ࡠаᡈࡽཅⲴ䴧㫉gᲞᆹ঑䴧˄Raymond

Poincaré˅ˈ⌅ഭߋ᭯є⭼Ӿн㕪ѿሩᗧ༽ӷⲴ༠丣о᜿ᝯDŽ
㔬кᡰ䘠ˈਚ㾱⌅ഭӽ❦䇔Ѫᆳ਼ᗧഭ༴Ҿ਼а࣋䟿ㅹ㓗ˈᆳቡнਟ㜭ഐ↔ㅹ
ሿᚙሿᜐ㘼᭮ᔳ䎒എ⅗䱶ѫሬൠսⲴ᜿മ઼ᵪ䙷DŽ⌅ഭഭ࣋༽৏ਾˈ䮯ᵏሩᗧഭ㔤
ᤱሩᣇܥተüü⋑ᴹ・࡫ਁࣘ༽ӷᡈҹüüⲴṩᵜ৏ഐቡᱟയҾઘ䗩ྕǃ᜿єབྷ⢥

ࡦᙗ࣋䟿Ⲵ᧓㛈˗㘼ਚ㾱㜭ཏ᢮ࡠᣥ⎸䘉⿽⢥ࡦᙗ࣋䟿ⲴĀ৽㔃ᶴā࣋䟿üü䙊䗷
㤡ഭေខҹਆ᜿བྷ࡙ѝ・ˈ䙊䗷״ഭሶྕसᑍഭ⢥ࡦ൘ь㓯üü䛓Ѹ⋑ᴹਾ亮ѻᘗ
Ⲵ⌅ഭቡᝯ᜿Ӿ᭼᜿ሩᣇⲴܥተ䎠ੁ⧠ᇎⲴ༽ӷᡈҹDŽ
Ĺ

ķ ෳ䟼ݻgෳݻ˖ljخᯟ哖оᗧ᜿ᘇᑍഭNJˈ੟㫉㕆䈁ᡰ䈁ˈк⎧⽮Պ、ᆖ䲒ࠪ⡸⽮ 2015
ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ 210 亥˗ᗀᔳ䛱˖lj㜶ᕡⲴፋ䎧üüབྷᡈ⮕оᗧ᜿ᘇᑍഭⲴભ䘀NJˈᯠॾࠪ⡸⽮ 2014
ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ 56 亥DŽ
ĸ ҄㓣἞gᯟඖ՟Ṭ˖ljخᯟ哖Ⲵа⭏üüቈሱؑᵝ㛼ਾⲴⵏ⴨NJ˄л޼˅ˈ⦻㔤ѩ䈁ˈ
ᆹᗭӪ≁ࠪ⡸⽮ 2014 ᒤ⡸ˈㅜ 331-334 亥DŽ
Ĺ ⌅ߋᙫਨԔ䵎伎Ӿᵳ࣋ሩㅹⲴ䀂ᓖࠪਁඊؑ㜭ཏࠫ䍕ᗧഭˈᒦࡦᇊҶа྇Ӿᆊᰕኡ㜹䎺
䗷㧡㥥⋣Ⲵབྷ㿴⁑䘋᭫䇑ࡂDŽ৲㿱 A. J. P. Taylor, The Struggle for Mastery in Europe, 1848-1918,
London: Oxford University Press, 1954, p. 486˗ᖃаᡈ⠶ਁᰦˈ⌅ߋᢗ㹼ⲴĀㅜ 17 ਧ䇑ࡂāᒦн
ᱟањᕡ࣯ഭⲴ䱢ᗑᯩṸˈ㘼ᱟа྇ሩㅹⲴѫࣘ䘋᭫ᯩṸDŽ৲㿱 B. H. Liddell Hart, Through the
Fog of War, New York: Random House, 1938, p. 57; John Ellis, The Social History of the Machine Gun,
New York: Pantheon, 1975, pp. 53-54; Barbara Tuchman, The Guns of August, New York: Dell, 1962, p.
51; B. H. Liddell Hart, “French Military Ideas before the First World War,” in Martin Gilbert, ed., A
Century of Conflict, 1850-1950, London: Hamilton Hamish, 1966, pp. 135-148; Richard D. Challener,
The French Theory of the Nation in Arms 1866-1939, New York: Columbia University Press, 1955, p.
81˗ᖃᗧഭⲴĀᯭ䟼㣜䇑ࡂā亴⍻ᡈҹ⠶ਁࡽޝઘަݸཤ䜘䱏ᣥ䘁ᐤ哾ൠ४ᰦˈ⌅ഭⲴĀ17 ਧ
֌ᡈ䇑ࡂā亴䇑⌅ߋⲴ䘋᭫䜘䱏ሶ⑑䗷㧡㥥⋣DŽ৲㿱 Geoffrey Blainey, The Causes of War, New
York: The Free Press, 1988, p. 3DŽ
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