Page 160 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第5期
P. 160

Journal  of  International  Security  Studies
            At the same time, countermeasures against Starlink  may  give rise to a rapid
            escalation of the outer space crisis and make it spread from the strategic field to the
            conventional field. Thirdly, Starlink will impact the stability of arms race. Now that
            Starlink is equipped with both offensive and defensive capacities, serving  dual
            military and civilian use,  it may exacerbate the “security dilemma” of armament
            development and  trigger risks of technology proliferation and  arms races.  The
            opacity and unpredictability of the Starlink technology system make it difficult to
            implement confidence-building measures in arms control. To address the challenges
            posed by the militarization of Starlink to global strategic stability, it is imperative to
            incorporate diversified security governance entities, including the commercial sector,
            to  build  a  multi-domain  linkage  security governance  mechanism  in  the  fields  of
            nuclear,  outer space, cyber network and  artificial intelligence,  and promote
            sustainable security governance for the future.
            [Keywords] Starlink, space security, first-strike stability, crisis stability, arms race
            stability
            [Authors] ZHANG  Huang,  Associate Professor,  School  of  Military  and  Political
            Basic Education, National University of Defense Technology; DU Yanyun, Associate
            Professor, School of Military and Political Basic Education, National University of
            Defense Technology (Changsha, 410073).

        54   Strategic Logic of the US Integrated Deterrence: Taking the Evolution
            of AUKUS as an Example
            XUE Liang
            [Abstract] Against the backdrop of intensifying global power dynamics, the Biden
            administration of the US has formally introduced and put into practice the strategic
            concept of integrated deterrence. This concept involves an orchestrated deployment
            across five distinct dimensions,  including major domains, geographical regions,
            conflict spectra, governmental departments, and  collaborations with  allies  and
            partners. It has harmonized three deterrence  principles, namely “deterrence  by
            denial,” “deterrence by resilience” and “deterrence  by direct and collective cost
            imposition,” so as to effectively dissuade specific competitors and address security
            concerns.  Rooted  in  the  architecture  of “asymmetric  multipolarity,”  this  concept
            focuses  on  the  oceanic realm, particularly the  Western Pacific, with China being
            regarded as a main deterrence target. The Indo-Pacific region is designated as the
            core area  for implementing this concept by employing networked operational
            approaches, adaptable overarching planning, and tailor-made tactics. Integral to the
            US Indo-Pacific Strategy, the Trilateral Security Partnership between Australia, the
            United  Kingdom, and  the United States (AUKUS) stands as an exemplar of
            integrated deterrence in action. Conceived by the US and its closest allies, AUKUS
            is intended to counter the so-called strategic challenges posed by China.  It
            strategically hinges on the Western Pacific, with areas like the South China Sea, the
            Taiwan  Strait,  and  the  East  China  Sea  being  strategic  frontiers,  extending  the
            Euro-Atlantic influence into  the  Indo-Pacific to  fortify  deterrence across  regions
            with a  “whole-of-government” mode of action.  This  cooperative  venture spans
            multiple  domains  and  encompasses  nuclear  submarines,  hypersonic  technology,
            cyber capabilities, outer space activities, etc. By taking account of diverse conflict
            spectra, AUKUS has made notable strides in its deterrence endeavors. Nonetheless,
            the future advancement of AUKUS is beset by escalating internal and external

            · 158 ·
   155   156   157   158   159   160   161   162   163   164