Page 160 - 《国际安全研究》2023年第5期
P. 160
Journal of International Security Studies
At the same time, countermeasures against Starlink may give rise to a rapid
escalation of the outer space crisis and make it spread from the strategic field to the
conventional field. Thirdly, Starlink will impact the stability of arms race. Now that
Starlink is equipped with both offensive and defensive capacities, serving dual
military and civilian use, it may exacerbate the “security dilemma” of armament
development and trigger risks of technology proliferation and arms races. The
opacity and unpredictability of the Starlink technology system make it difficult to
implement confidence-building measures in arms control. To address the challenges
posed by the militarization of Starlink to global strategic stability, it is imperative to
incorporate diversified security governance entities, including the commercial sector,
to build a multi-domain linkage security governance mechanism in the fields of
nuclear, outer space, cyber network and artificial intelligence, and promote
sustainable security governance for the future.
[Keywords] Starlink, space security, first-strike stability, crisis stability, arms race
stability
[Authors] ZHANG Huang, Associate Professor, School of Military and Political
Basic Education, National University of Defense Technology; DU Yanyun, Associate
Professor, School of Military and Political Basic Education, National University of
Defense Technology (Changsha, 410073).
54 Strategic Logic of the US Integrated Deterrence: Taking the Evolution
of AUKUS as an Example
XUE Liang
[Abstract] Against the backdrop of intensifying global power dynamics, the Biden
administration of the US has formally introduced and put into practice the strategic
concept of integrated deterrence. This concept involves an orchestrated deployment
across five distinct dimensions, including major domains, geographical regions,
conflict spectra, governmental departments, and collaborations with allies and
partners. It has harmonized three deterrence principles, namely “deterrence by
denial,” “deterrence by resilience” and “deterrence by direct and collective cost
imposition,” so as to effectively dissuade specific competitors and address security
concerns. Rooted in the architecture of “asymmetric multipolarity,” this concept
focuses on the oceanic realm, particularly the Western Pacific, with China being
regarded as a main deterrence target. The Indo-Pacific region is designated as the
core area for implementing this concept by employing networked operational
approaches, adaptable overarching planning, and tailor-made tactics. Integral to the
US Indo-Pacific Strategy, the Trilateral Security Partnership between Australia, the
United Kingdom, and the United States (AUKUS) stands as an exemplar of
integrated deterrence in action. Conceived by the US and its closest allies, AUKUS
is intended to counter the so-called strategic challenges posed by China. It
strategically hinges on the Western Pacific, with areas like the South China Sea, the
Taiwan Strait, and the East China Sea being strategic frontiers, extending the
Euro-Atlantic influence into the Indo-Pacific to fortify deterrence across regions
with a “whole-of-government” mode of action. This cooperative venture spans
multiple domains and encompasses nuclear submarines, hypersonic technology,
cyber capabilities, outer space activities, etc. By taking account of diverse conflict
spectra, AUKUS has made notable strides in its deterrence endeavors. Nonetheless,
the future advancement of AUKUS is beset by escalating internal and external
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